Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7337d0603576163da19d75994fc856d378fda8edab77aa3c52a0b15ebbd89a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, GAM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4916…5442backed Team Secret Whales | 63c | 3,358$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.81 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GAM Esports | 38c | 2,000$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.77 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Team Secret Whales | 65c | 810.24$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.86 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Team Secret Whales | 65c | 671.61$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Team Secret Whales | 64c | 597.69$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 250 | 74.8%187 W · 63 L | +42.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed GAM Esports | 38c | 474.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed GAM Esports | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GAM Esports | 34c | 436$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GAM Esports | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed GAM Esports | 37c | 337.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GAM Esports | 32c | 324.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GAM Esports | 33c | 322$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Secret Whales | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Secret Whales | 62c | 295$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed GAM Esports | 35c | 294.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked GAM Esports | 37c | 254.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Secret Whales | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed GAM Esports | 34c | 249.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked GAM Esports | 38c | 238.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed GAM Esports | 26c | 224.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Secret Whales | 62c | 152.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Secret Whales | 64c | 149.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GAM Esports | 32c | 146.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Team Secret Whales | 66c | 103$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GAM Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed GAM Esports | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed GAM Esports | 36c | 81.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed GAM Esports | 38c | 78.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 72c | 69.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Team Secret Whales | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked GAM Esports | 38c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 44.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…215cbacked GAM Esports | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 367 | 54.8%201 W · 166 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Team Secret Whales | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Team Secret Whales | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…a96cbacked Team Secret Whales | 64c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 303 | 66.3%201 W · 102 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked GAM Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 55.9%104 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Secret Whales | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Team Secret Whales | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 3 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.