Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4285c21984040516ca565c8b19b0c1c0d8e9517ffa541042e9a84bf2551520bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked PCIFIC | 48c | 4,981$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.27 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PCIFIC | 50c | 4,768$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.66 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PCIFIC | 51c | 2,212$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.74 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Misa Esports | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Misa Esports | 49c | 1,941$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.34 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Misa Esports | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Misa Esports | 51c | 1,048$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.43 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Misa Esports | 49c | 857.74$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 778.5$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Misa Esports | 50c | 654$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked PCIFIC | 51c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.63 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Misa Esports | 50c | 510.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Misa Esports | 49c | 250.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Misa Esports | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Misa Esports | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Misa Esports | 48c | 206.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed PCIFIC | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed PCIFIC | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Misa Esports | 49c | 115.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Misa Esports | 58c | 101.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed PCIFIC | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Misa Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed PCIFIC | 51c | 95.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed PCIFIC | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed PCIFIC | 41c | 63.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed PCIFIC | 53c | 56.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked PCIFIC | 49c | 47.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Misa Esports | 49c | 46.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked PCIFIC | 51c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 41.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked PCIFIC | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Misa Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.