Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a3a3c51fa88661f5cb1c641f85c7e820ffd1247c278bf3fd9c7c61adeedac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PCIFIC | 1c | 4,028$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed PCIFIC | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed PCIFIC | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Misa Esports | 80c | 994.1$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed PCIFIC | 23c | 884.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked PCIFIC | 20c | 477.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PCIFIC | 20c | 433.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 279.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed PCIFIC | 20c | 251.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Misa Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed PCIFIC | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked PCIFIC | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 80c | 187.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 78c | 183.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…ad79backed Misa Esports | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PCIFIC | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PCIFIC | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed PCIFIC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked PCIFIC | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PCIFIC | 21c | 88.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed PCIFIC | 16c | 79.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…7f69backed PCIFIC | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PCIFIC | 19c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Misa Esports | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed PCIFIC | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Misa Esports | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Misa Esports | 79c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.