Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76a8edc7a937adec10c45f48167b061b36dcbf4c79ad78958afbbe35ccefe2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 3,479$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.62 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 48c | 3,200$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.41 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 52c | 286$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 240.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 57c | 63.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 43c | 58.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 52c | 35.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Over | 47c | 24.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 54c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.