Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2feb56a4672693eaa660956297f6856e6858deb7664e63d8572f5c9064222160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 45c | 6,182$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.66 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 5,371$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.78 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 4,624$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.57 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 4,169$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.37 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 3,947$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.71 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…58acbacked Yes | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,767$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,791$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 58c | 1,296$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 1,237$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.66 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 1,021$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 71c | 811.01$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 694.44$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 622.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 68c | 556$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 57c | 536.56$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 505.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 483.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 363.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 44c | 351.65$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 312.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 302.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 55c | 245.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 41c | 242.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 42c | 236.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 77c | 160.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 42c | 132.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 71c | 128.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 60c | 99.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 23c | 96.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 24c | 94.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 19c | 89.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 62c | 87.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 81.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 63c | 81.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 57c | 75.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 55c | 71.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…5b13backed Yes | 44c | 68.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 56c | 65.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 64c | 64.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 37c | 56.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 60c | 51.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 48.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…9c91backed Yes | 41c | 37.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 36.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 56c | 36.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 34.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Yes | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 73c | 27.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 63c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 20.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 74c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 60c | 18.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed No | 67c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…6fbdbacked No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.