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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,500,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,560,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,500,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed Yes49c1,869,134$912,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956,883.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No52c400,000$208,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207,999.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-71.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No50c391,158$197,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,272.555761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No52c179,394$92,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,411.772842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No42c160,000$67,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,729.996446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No51c153,744$78,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,409.422955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c104,210$53,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,646.511539.1%45 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes48c67,370$32,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,032.1811355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ae…66f3backed No52c63,668$32,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,83410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed No50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No52c58,751$30,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,313.011926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No38c54,589$20,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,937.616842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…6f49backed No51c54,060$27,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,570.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes48c52,083$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,083.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No51c32,794$16,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,724.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No52c24,830$12,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,796.116051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No52c24,451$12,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,714.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a4…856ebacked No16c23,797$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No50c22,222$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1116227.4%17 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c22,161$11,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,122.082,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No31c21,081$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,439.9517451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No50c18,350$9,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1751662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No51c18,302$9,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,334.015639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c17,642$8,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,471.1451048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No12c17,553$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No50c17,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c12,058$6,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,264.191,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c11,535$5,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952.251,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes79c11,232$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.781,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No52c10,933$5,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.8772455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x995f…be04backed No51c10,500$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,355250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No50c10,200$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1005431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes49c10,122$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x974c…3269backed No52c10,121$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1008651.2%44 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e6…584bbacked No52c8,320$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa160…442bbacked No52c8,055$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No51c8,040$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No52c8,022$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.544141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1601741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No51c7,692$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.423336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9e…936ebacked No52c7,480$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes68c7,025$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.7111041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No52c6,900$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5883040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No52c6,833$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.2319847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No50c6,300$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4510538.1%40 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0006738.8%26 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024544.5%109 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No11c5,901$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.252334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c5,883$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.680950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No52c5,835$3,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No22c5,017$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.2167839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c4,571$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.674949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c4,297$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2364732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed No6c4,234$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No14c4,109$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.65850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0803240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes66c4,000$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed No2c3,928$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.55100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed No52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.871957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c3,000$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5107739%30 W · 47 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No52c3,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.974744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No52c2,936$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.729729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No14c2,816$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.021,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No54c2,598$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.8811656%65 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No10c2,409$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3416732.9%55 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes48c2,289$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.9633531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c2,201$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.8624639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c2,168$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.013,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c2,152$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.474517.8%8 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No50c2,150$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0755532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48f…7527backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022744.5%101 W · 126 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04052152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No9c1,950$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5348338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No12c1,596$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3222842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked No51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c1,458$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75853249.4%263 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No3c1,400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c1,360$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.0675257.2%430 W · 322 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No2c1,335$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4311351.3%58 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes68c1,251$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes73c1,182$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.021353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No55c1,138$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.94129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes48c1,104$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.1722644.7%101 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c9…e829backed Yes47c1,032$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No51c1,024$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2414759.2%87 W · 60 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52022022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.