La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef8a6974a6480444516aedafc1ae2093f2827a50c9818e214cbbe582d76e33a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 25c | 15,800$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218c…7d1cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,737$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 77c | 4,100$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 3,208$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,130$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.18 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 2,774$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.41 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 2,266$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.95 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 27c | 2,168$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.36 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed No | 77c | 1,818$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 2c | 1,735$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 21c | 1,153$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 23c | 920$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 869.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 16c | 557.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 544.5$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 3c | 514.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 74c | 458.82$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 565 | 38.1%215 W · 350 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 366.27$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…ed40backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Yes | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 185.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 73c | 178.26$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…b7c7backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…4790backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…c53bbacked No | 76c | 108.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 26c | 101.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 26c | 96.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…9042backed Yes | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 26c | 70.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 73c | 59.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…e0fbbacked Yes | 28c | 51.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…a2d6backed No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 74c | 45.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 72c | 44.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…ed89backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…24c5backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc21a…5ae1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 18.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 950 | 54.2%515 W · 435 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed No | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.