La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d36023f4eb13c95620e39425691b9e3ba7ce262affa8f3651dbc5c3868ee7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 60,244$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.06 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 14c | 33,675$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.74 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 6,857$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.93 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 1c | 3,780$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 3,674$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.66 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,496$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 3,412$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.03 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 8c | 1,645$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 1,452$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 985.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 27c | 954.81$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed No | 74c | 755$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 27c | 744.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 26c | 692.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 2c | 684.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 631.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 647 | 32.3%209 W · 438 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 73c | 607.18$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.94 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 592$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 862 | 50.2%433 W · 429 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 529.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 478.14$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…9461backed Yes | 7c | 445.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 440.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 565 | 38.1%215 W · 350 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 431.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 427.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 26.8%67 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed Yes | 28c | 416.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 391.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 12c | 363.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 341.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 247.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes | 13c | 207.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 6c | 177.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 27c | 153$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 73c | 136.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 11c | 132.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 9c | 120.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 73c | 119.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 27c | 81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 27c | 65.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 27c | 53.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 73c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 220 | 22.3%49 W · 171 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-28?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.