Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa801d1010043071c6b1241eb2b32cec71b0d52a341f8ff8a727fc5d004975b25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kawasaki Frontaleof Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Kawasaki Frontale
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kawasaki Frontale | 67c | 6,721$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.14 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 910$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 699.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 629$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 599.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 550.52$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Kawasaki Frontale | 58c | 517.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 485.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 399.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 365.26$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 299.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Kawasaki Frontale | 71c | 288.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 259.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kawasaki Frontale | 68c | 206.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kawasaki Frontale | 71c | 188.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34c | 187.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 155.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 155.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33c | 134.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35c | 122.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29c | 104.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kawasaki Frontale | 69c | 93.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 31c | 90.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 84.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kawasaki Frontale | 66c | 78.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 59.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Kawasaki Frontale | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Kawasaki Frontale | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 38.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kawasaki Frontale | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34c | 35.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Kawasaki Frontale | 70c | 35.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Kawasaki Frontale | 69c | 34.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Kawasaki Frontale | 71c | 33.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kawasaki Frontale | 66c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Kawasaki Frontale | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Kawasaki Frontale | 52c | 19.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)this page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.