Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c4e96726dbe256766221a1c45c83e70ec97a8fa6556c702e76b296213522390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b12…a6cebacked Yes | 35c | 8,185$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 3,300$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.75 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 2,270$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.1 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 2,254$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.67 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 65c | 1,637$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.11 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,612$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 1,502$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.54 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 1,497$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.03 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 903.45$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 768.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 768.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.32 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 27c | 702.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 33c | 554.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Yes | 13c | 547.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 6c | 492.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 377.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 10c | 358.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 67c | 250.56$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…a591backed Yes | 5c | 239.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 18c | 221.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 8c | 220.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 71c | 179.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 71c | 169.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…453abacked Yes | 9c | 140.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 10c | 131.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 116.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 71c | 112.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…3b56backed Yes | 12c | 109.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 108.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 73c | 107.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 105.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 81.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 65c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…9196backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 33c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed No | 69c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 66c | 28.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 66c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 68c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 68c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd597…beb7backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.