Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6623d4878a48a8737865b69c56c9dcd35918d81e67ea08925d589175af43304c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 1c | 14,538$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 6,968$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.56 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 46c | 2,169$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.8 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 1,996$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.07 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 1,129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 28c | 1,012$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.22 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 978.87$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.68 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 970.76$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.36 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 698.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 652$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 644.68$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 48c | 604.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.04 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 47c | 510.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 48c | 508.25$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 46c | 441$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 415.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed Yes | 49c | 397.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 377.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 30c | 337.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 284$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 48c | 280$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 199.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 51c | 199.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 51c | 199.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 45c | 191.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 55c | 167.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed No | 47c | 155.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 153.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 52c | 147.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 52c | 145.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 50c | 142.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 68c | 136.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…84f0backed Yes | 52c | 135.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 46c | 105.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 71c | 105.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 54c | 98.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 51c | 94.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 59c | 84.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 15c | 72.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 68c | 59.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 47c | 58.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 43c | 56.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 48c | 46.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 56c | 39.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 34.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 65c | 16.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Hegelmann win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.