Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eeb2f58b3fb32d025455f99a9a8949f77e857dcb6dd70df2ac8c1a0b954f1a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 9,702$5,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.99 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 5,478$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 58c | 5,058$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.28 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 47c | 4,339$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 4,130$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.16 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 64c | 3,846$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.03 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 58c | 3,301$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.22 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,313$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.32 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 2,120$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.05 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 73c | 1,386$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.45 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 75c | 983.9$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 21c | 866$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 80c | 720.76$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 3c | 638.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…41d3backed Yes | 51c | 586.83$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Yes | 48c | 516.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 67c | 510$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 52c | 480.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.85 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 42c | 439.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 74c | 263$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 16c | 249.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.2 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 241.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 11c | 237$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 19c | 210.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 48c | 207.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 27c | 180$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 42c | 162.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Yes | 20c | 150.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 63c | 143.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Yes | 14c | 130.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 18c | 129.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 116.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 21c | 116.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 32c | 108.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 108.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…583abacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d01…0f69backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Yes | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 68c | 59.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…5b7fbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 31c | 52.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a30bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Yes | 55c | 43.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 57c | 42.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Yes | 59c | 42.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 48c | 39.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 52c | 38.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 52c | 35.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 30c | 34.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 25.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 24.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 50c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 78c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed No | 66c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 80c | 13.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.