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Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c22,313$10,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,476.091,47137.8%556 W · 915 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No55c7,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.8936842.9%158 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No53c5,106$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4008350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No57c4,846$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.4491444.5%407 W · 507 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes46c4,233$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.972944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes45c3,678$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No61c2,534$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.8851842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c2,007$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-93.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes46c1,796$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3278139.8%311 W · 470 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c1,756$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.0133336%120 W · 213 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No53c1,168$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.724447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5173100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes46c995.65$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4586435.9%23 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c943$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.211,11147.9%532 W · 579 L+2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c943$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.211,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c942.87$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.221,71948.5%833 W · 886 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes45c941.97$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.896453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c920.67$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.582,06836.7%758 W · 1,310 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c810.31$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.42,36146.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes3c713.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes47c666.96$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.473237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes40c659.44$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.521040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes46c541$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.862245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c512.77$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.895,65542%2,376 W · 3,279 L+75.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes46c511.98$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5112537.6%47 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No54c464.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9412647.6%60 W · 66 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes46c432.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No53c425$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7517421.8%38 W · 136 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes42c407.41$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No55c400.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18019143.5%83 W · 108 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes3c387.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941,00153.3%534 W · 467 L+23.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No54c367.17$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.93847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Yes8c337.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.03110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked Yes45c308.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c275.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.193348.2%450 W · 483 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No54c266.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1641552%216 W · 199 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes45c220.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.195457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c201.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.352,58852.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L+10.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9214853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes28c183.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.355139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Yes45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed No53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6926752.4%140 W · 127 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No53c141.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b2f…318bbacked No74c135.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No54c133.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.646642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Yes45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid+10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed No56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.23046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc8…1591backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes46c109.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.298758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…6c35backed Yes45c106.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39b6…306dbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb8…ff18backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes46c82.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810656.6%60 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee18…f5e9backed Yes45c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb34…6f11backed Yes46c78.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c77.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71,15653%613 W · 543 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked No75c71.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes46c65.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes29c64.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,08035.3%735 W · 1,345 L-27.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked No53c55.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c50.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,16360.5%704 W · 459 L+67.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfede…983fbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No53c43.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2513850%69 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd940…e682backed Yes37c40.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920e…6fd2backed Yes45c39.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No54c39.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.279755.7%54 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No54c35.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes46c34.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164223.8%10 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153129%9 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73dd…c187backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes46c31.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.443444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604b…8215backed Yes46c30.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf227…a6e9backed Yes46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked No54c25.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed No56c24.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.93764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes45c23.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56366.7%42 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09cd…9502backed No53c22.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No72c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.163167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7518344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No67c20.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7114759.9%88 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3840950.6%207 W · 202 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.