Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9da602ff42f77d91e45daa3fdd4eb9dd1e1287bedfe0a089e07ea2314ed72a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Ferencvárosi TC, Trabzonspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe988…8343backed Ferencvárosi TC | 63c | 6,774$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trabzonspor | 37c | 5,877$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.17 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 2,981$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.21 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Trabzonspor | 36c | 2,950$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.42 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trabzonspor | 37c | 2,641$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.27 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 2,589$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 2,276$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.08 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…1381backed Trabzonspor | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Trabzonspor | 35c | 1,538$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Trabzonspor | 33c | 1,526$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Trabzonspor | 34c | 1,332$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Trabzonspor | 35c | 1,305$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.47 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Trabzonspor | 36c | 999$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Trabzonspor | 38c | 989.84$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 980$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Ferencvárosi TC | 63c | 914.29$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 816.93$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.3 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 780.3$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 733.77$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 642.07$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 1,199 | 47.5%569 W · 630 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f18…f384backed Trabzonspor | 38c | 626.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trabzonspor | 14c | 619.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 566.04$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Trabzonspor | 36c | 418.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 368$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 360.39$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trabzonspor | 8c | 299.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Trabzonspor | 38c | 295.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 279$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Trabzonspor | 37c | 259.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 213.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 204$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Ferencvárosi TC | 63c | 180.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 67c | 151.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8c…899ebacked Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 145.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…086dbacked Trabzonspor | 34c | 143$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 63c | 116.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Trabzonspor | 18c | 109.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Trabzonspor | 35c | 102.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Trabzonspor | 33c | 94.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trabzonspor | 32c | 92.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 412 | 45.6%188 W · 224 L | +25.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Trabzonspor | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…e27bbacked Trabzonspor | 29c | 87.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Trabzonspor | 13c | 83.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ferencvárosi TC | 69c | 80.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ferencvárosi TC | 67c | 79.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Trabzonspor | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 73.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Trabzonspor | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Trabzonspor | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Trabzonspor | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Trabzonspor | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Trabzonspor | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…8cfebacked Trabzonspor | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 44.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…6ecfbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…9195backed Trabzonspor | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…bab3backed Trabzonspor | 36c | 38.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…35c2backed Trabzonspor | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Trabzonspor | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 26.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0966…514bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Team to Advancethis page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.