Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5a597276757057acc98704e07efb07ca84b0a973af3da7081341d160e566f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 47c | 3,371$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.89 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,168$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.76 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 1,429$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.71 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 1,247$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.64 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 1,131$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.84 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 1,070$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.59 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 784.15$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.43 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 737.09$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.91 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 60c | 653.16$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.57 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 44c | 575.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 522.87$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 392.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Yes | 57c | 347.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 60c | 293.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 40c | 283$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 12c | 279.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 197.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 40c | 179.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 155.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 144.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 41c | 117.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 87.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 23c | 85.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 85.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…666abacked Yes | 62c | 79.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 68.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 54.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed No | 55c | 53.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 43c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 43c | 29.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 26.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 59c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Team to AdvanceFerencvárosi TC won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.