Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d2eba54582687be72653880d2bc0338200b1477e0a3da386ea3e56dffea648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Ferencvárosi TC, Trabzonspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ferencvárosi TC | 21c | 2,365$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.14 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.77 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trabzonspor | 43c | 1,653$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.09 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trabzonspor | 43c | 1,601$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.87 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Ferencvárosi TC | 53c | 1,551$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.35 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 11c | 510.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.45 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Trabzonspor | 74c | 447.67$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.28 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Ferencvárosi TC | 57c | 348.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ferencvárosi TC | 11c | 242.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…771cbacked Trabzonspor | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Ferencvárosi TC | 59c | 221.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 11c | 96.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Trabzonspor | 43c | 79.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Ferencvárosi TC | 55c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Team to AdvanceFerencvárosi TC won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.