Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cda243e0afc0715df3937e2dfb2428f34a0912e4bb6fe2ab8f9054f810aa806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 44c | 3,841$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.6 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 55c | 1,542$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 1,134$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.26 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 1,035$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.73 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 534.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 490$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.22 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 13c | 475.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 50c | 421.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 401.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 388.52$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 380.46$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 264.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 59c | 249.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 56c | 172.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 136.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 128.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 124.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 44c | 75.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…c159backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 67.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 52c | 61.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 56.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 49c | 49.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 42.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 44c | 39.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 37.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 49c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…839cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…b200backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Team to AdvanceFerencvárosi TC won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.