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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed Yes42c54,576$22,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,922.011947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No58c28,201$16,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,844.426336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No58c26,561$15,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,244.0714358%83 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a4…856ebacked No58c22,598$13,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,450.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No58c20,672$11,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,682.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes42c13,818$5,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.4411367.3%76 W · 37 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes38c8,769$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.191,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes47c7,952$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.562,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c7,689$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,637.483,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52023736.7%87 W · 150 L-14.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c5,374$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.42,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes43c5,262$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.3333442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No60c3,050$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.3925248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c2,923$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.896033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No56c2,809$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.4565943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes41c2,414$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.4777248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No62c2,360$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.711275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No61c1,936$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.046456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No57c1,815$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes42c1,786$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9247244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes42c1,663$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.362,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes63c1,506$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.373426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+251%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes18c1,500$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.638431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes42c1,194$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8863249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No58c1,112$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.987755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes62c1,097$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.31,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c1,075$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.151,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c995$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8572550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c838.86$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.091,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes42c817$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.145764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c797.76$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.071,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes43c780.71$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7120440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c672.56$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.331,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c564.17$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.121,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No59c512$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9232547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c485.37$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4993341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes48c446.8$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9622237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes48c430.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9518037.8%68 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked No57c416.75$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cc…09a3backed No53c367.01$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.49850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No58c344.42$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.941353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No60c309.89$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1276037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547727.3%21 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9800…5c32backed No67c224.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c202$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.685142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8615558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes40c181$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.44731.9%15 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes43c174.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9915243.4%66 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.46271%44 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes18c158.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes43c151.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9915544.5%69 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes43c142$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0641442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.336056.7%34 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No58c132.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes43c130.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0220948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes38c114.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3454353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.151,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.697953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.416235.2%57 W · 105 L-25.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1713…9120backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes43c93.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0823245.3%105 W · 127 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes43c92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4222644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes42c91.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.618135.8%29 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No57c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes39c84.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.456454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No58c84.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed No58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes65c66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.69852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd79a…6d72backed No57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c8…7f69backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No61c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.966558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No59c60.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.689153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes43c55.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.799142.9%39 W · 52 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes41c53.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.847341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes41c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9117447.7%83 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Yes39c50.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.638149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7534754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814839.9%59 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.784151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No45c43.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.952544%11 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed No59c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.812653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes41c39.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4614561.4%89 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae9…1ea4backed No58c39.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Yes30c33.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.026759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf51…7cccbacked No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1283845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732d…8b00backed No62c22.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4633142.9%142 W · 189 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.695964.4%38 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No56c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No59c17.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.