Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3180f0f67cfda279af4bf0bf138c73fd5ece5193afe2d7111d72e7a97228a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 13c | 11,898$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 29c | 11,501$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 77c | 11,004$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.55 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 31c | 9,923$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 72c | 6,089$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 29c | 5,917$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 71c | 5,721$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.62 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 31c | 5,614$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 4,436$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 70c | 4,190$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.76 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 4,177$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.08 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 79c | 3,684$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.32 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,053$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.14 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 15c | 1,731$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 76c | 1,560$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.68 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 69c | 1,163$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 1,048$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 14c | 1,035$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 78c | 924.17$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 29c | 796.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 70c | 686.24$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 625$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 523.44$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 16c | 514.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 423.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 29c | 423$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 19c | 359.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 70c | 317.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 32c | 310.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 70c | 310.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 70c | 279.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 277.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 70c | 219.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked No | 21c | 216.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 22c | 203.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 29c | 173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 70c | 155.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…ff8dbacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 15c | 127.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 20c | 113.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 100.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 98.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 14c | 98.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked No | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 70c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Yes | 77c | 62.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…12dabacked No | 33c | 43.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 68c | 34.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…71c8backed Yes | 72c | 30.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…7f61backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 69c | 27.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 72c | 26.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 72c | 26.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 71c | 19.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 73c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Yes | 71c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yes | 73c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.