Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0ebf67e79106811a80a9bc31c223da1335be034cda153e1c63a5b80035ad63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 56c | 2,272$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.75 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,024$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 1,864$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.79 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 644.58$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 497.11$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 46c | 373.49$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 45c | 368$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 255$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 189$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 187.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 47c | 184.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 156.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 135.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 67c | 134.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 105.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 31c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 29c | 100.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 28c | 84.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 40c | 78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 53c | 70.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 60.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 75c | 53.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 40.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Yes | 62c | 31.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 73c | 24.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?this page
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.