Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x564cc5b3c931adfaaee30179619c424800197083afe9eb6f686961ad2cfe2fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 7,015$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,805$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,229$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,010$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 1,143$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 12c | 860.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 5c | 812.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes | 37c | 783.49$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 519.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 12c | 438.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 9c | 390.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 5c | 305.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked No | 71c | 294.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…52a2backed Yes | 44c | 277.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 8c | 262.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…3d09backed Yes | 8c | 247.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 11c | 240$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 9c | 186$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Yes | 9c | 155.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 116.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Yes | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.