Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e869845b0ab3ab1e257f31b9ea7c4f4dc6220c001aa456d63dea72d425c6cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,123$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d37backed Yes | 13c | 2,291$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Yes | 19c | 2,080$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,077$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 1,651$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 1,277$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…70ddbacked No | 74c | 1,011$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 599$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 16c | 382.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 21c | 289.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 79c | 271.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 15c | 211.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 67c | 197.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 14c | 159.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Yes | 30c | 150.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 15c | 121.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 33c | 119.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Yes | 14c | 111.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 110.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 15c | 99.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 16c | 92.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 34c | 58.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.