Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Hayu Kinoshita vs Kristiana Sidorova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9373923c6296ec19c2c5867408b4741edc2df5c5ac822e7bd214ac5209322197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hayu Kinoshitaof Hayu Kinoshita, Kristiana Sidorova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 77c | 9,487$7,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.05 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kristiana Sidorova | 21c | 7,934$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.26 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristiana Sidorova | 12c | 4,149$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.38 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kristiana Sidorova | 9c | 3,658$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.29 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kristiana Sidorova | 21c | 2,673$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Kristiana Sidorova | 18c | 800.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kristiana Sidorova | 2c | 727.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kristiana Sidorova | 13c | 687.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kristiana Sidorova | 20c | 628.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Kristiana Sidorova | 4c | 496.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Kristiana Sidorova | 25c | 362.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kristiana Sidorova | 37c | 326.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Hayu Kinoshita | 67c | 199.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Hayu Kinoshita | 74c | 176.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ebe4backed Kristiana Sidorova | 31c | 156.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kristiana Sidorova | 12c | 115.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Kristiana Sidorova | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Hayu Kinoshita | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Kristiana Sidorova | 21c | 76.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hayu Kinoshita | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Kristiana Sidorova | 20c | 68.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Hayu Kinoshita | 76c | 62.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hayu Kinoshita | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Kristiana Sidorova | 24c | 49.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Kristiana Sidorova | 49c | 41.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 306 | 49.7%152 W · 154 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Kristiana Sidorova | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…5718backed Hayu Kinoshita | 64c | 36.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hayu Kinoshita | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Hayu Kinoshita | 74c | 32.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 177 | 58.8%104 W · 73 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…2d83backed Hayu Kinoshita | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…fd83backed Hayu Kinoshita | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Hayu Kinoshita | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Hayu Kinoshita | 75c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Hayu Kinoshita | 75c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Hayu Kinoshita | 60c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Hayu Kinoshita | 78c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.