La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68fa82d9a8c87656b7ed74a9e8f5255551fd566c3bf2d8ea7cf33d8c5235bc1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 4,810$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.27 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,661$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.64 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,010$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.85 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 41c | 1,857$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.52 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…3540backed Yes | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…e140backed Yes | 68c | 950$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 68c | 563.47$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed No | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 484.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 300.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 46c | 270.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 32c | 191.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 190.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 180.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 26c | 145$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 47c | 141.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 34c | 128.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 27c | 116.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 101.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 73.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 65c | 70.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 44c | 66.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 43.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 69c | 42.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 41c | 41.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 40.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 31c | 38.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4854backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 32c | 33.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked No | 75c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 30.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 36c | 28.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked No | 76c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 58c | 17.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.