WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6b4c969c8b1be5a07e09b1911ee85d0258b8c71596b19e7077dbf6fccef0c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream | 42c | 383.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics | 39c | 283.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Atlanta Dream | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 34c | 198.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Mystics | 32c | 166$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Washington Mystics | 32c | 107.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Washington Mystics | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Washington Mystics | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Atlanta Dream | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Atlanta Dream | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 53.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Mystics | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Washington Mystics | 27c | 47.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Atlanta Dream | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Dream | 71c | 39.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Atlanta Dream | 72c | 33.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 29.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.