TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiujiang: Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gao

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Haruka Kajiof Haruka Kaji, Xinyu Gao
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3df…82fabacked Haruka Kaji51c26,387$13,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,013.2827846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Xinyu Gao50c19,959$10,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,047.6565959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Xinyu Gao16c10,534$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.861,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…6bbdbacked Xinyu Gao0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Gao42c8,526$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,538.529,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Xinyu Gao1c4,039$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.14,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xinyu Gao36c3,972$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.2311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Xinyu Gao24c3,028$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.357447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Xinyu Gao7c2,396$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0818445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Haruka Kaji44c2,186$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.3654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Xinyu Gao78c2,138$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.4627248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Xinyu Gao47c2,049$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.694,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Xinyu Gao2c2,023$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.751,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Haruka Kaji74c1,954$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.535,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Haruka Kaji53c1,597$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.527,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Haruka Kaji65c1,500$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.692975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Haruka Kaji22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.883732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Haruka Kaji55c1,490$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.371,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Xinyu Gao39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19c…512cbacked Xinyu Gao42c1,194$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Xinyu Gao49c1,060$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.88,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Haruka Kaji48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.331,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Xinyu Gao43c812.28$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.793839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Haruka Kaji60c696.5$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.844,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Xinyu Gao19c663.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12657321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Xinyu Gao49c593.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2892,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Xinyu Gao38c550.48$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.092,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Xinyu Gao58c547.55$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.379,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Haruka Kaji56c540.76$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.73,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Xinyu Gao35c540$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18972132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2381…ebe4backed Haruka Kaji61c462.48$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.055959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Xinyu Gao45c434.93$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4560355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Xinyu Gao74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29649740.6%202 W · 295 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Haruka Kaji38c385.32$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6363052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Haruka Kaji23c381.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9450340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xinyu Gao23c370.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.355,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Xinyu Gao62c368.34$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23085568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xinyu Gao51c354.57$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.022,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Xinyu Gao60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Haruka Kaji29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.835158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Xinyu Gao78c343.59$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2685971.2%42 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Haruka Kaji22c300$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Haruka Kaji33c299.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.971,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Xinyu Gao21c278.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Xinyu Gao45c266$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.741,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Xinyu Gao30c248.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.164,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Haruka Kaji21c206.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8334242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Xinyu Gao44c199.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.631,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Haruka Kaji76c197.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.176262.9%39 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Xinyu Gao79c178.48$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Xinyu Gao64c163.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.161,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Haruka Kaji46c159.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.574,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Xinyu Gao60c159.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.762,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Haruka Kaji66c158.42$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.926,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Xinyu Gao34c153.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4128348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Haruka Kaji52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Haruka Kaji58c136.21$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2130649.7%152 W · 154 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Haruka Kaji22c125$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Xinyu Gao10c120.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2632853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Haruka Kaji59c116.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Haruka Kaji34c115.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2384640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Xinyu Gao52c111.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3674346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Haruka Kaji22c109.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4916529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Xinyu Gao41c102.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.521,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Xinyu Gao66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6656062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Haruka Kaji31c99.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8812166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed Haruka Kaji22c99.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.432334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Haruka Kaji45c94.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9527331.5%86 W · 187 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Xinyu Gao78c89.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcb…6450backed Xinyu Gao38c84.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Haruka Kaji21c75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.251,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Haruka Kaji37c74.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.864475%33 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Haruka Kaji62c72.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.196149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Xinyu Gao70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Xinyu Gao63c70.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1950644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked Xinyu Gao44c70.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Haruka Kaji61c65.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.448758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Xinyu Gao77c65.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.551,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Xinyu Gao78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Xinyu Gao65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Xinyu Gao34c58.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Xinyu Gao56c56.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Xinyu Gao57c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.782,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Haruka Kaji37c53.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5969057.2%395 W · 295 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a28…1813backed Xinyu Gao48c52.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.384537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7089…7351backed Xinyu Gao51c51.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.153450%17 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Haruka Kaji21c50.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.013,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Haruka Kaji77c50.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Xinyu Gao47c49.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Haruka Kaji39c49.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Xinyu Gao62c46.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7340548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Haruka Kaji44c45.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.681,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Xinyu Gao37c43.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1878350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Xinyu Gao41c42.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.345438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Xinyu Gao60c41.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.88447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Haruka Kaji61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9815058.7%88 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Haruka Kaji35c40.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3311154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Xinyu Gao51c39.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.254334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Xinyu Gao55c39.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.532,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Haruka Kaji39c37.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.853,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.