Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a21897e69faa28b1a72a57e09db8aa14b4777c931d26ab8afc86d4c1973828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Royal Challengers Bangalore, Kolkata Knight Riders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 63c | 699.96$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 668.83$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 657.83$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 48c | 399.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 294.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 45c | 285.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 278.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 256.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 190.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 142.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 141.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 127.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 123.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…f0b4backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 9c | 119.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 104.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…4788backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…a301backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 62.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 59.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…8767backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 59.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 48.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…a7f0backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…dd97backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 32.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…e874backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…5968backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 28.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 24.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight RidersRoyal Challengers Bangalore won
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.