Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7889050f1f13a68665e634a83386b9e7687a597914b0c8e4751425243fa5ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 42c | 1,055$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.53 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 741.33$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.26 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes | 43c | 580.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Yes | 44c | 496.87$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 472.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 442.18$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 424.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 364.56$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…e432backed Yes | 43c | 356.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 43c | 281.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 43c | 224.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 43c | 222.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 219.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 213.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 58c | 208.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 58c | 198.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 44c | 198.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked No | 58c | 111.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed No | 58c | 83.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 57c | 81.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 58c | 71.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Yes | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…68aebacked Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 42c | 41.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 41c | 39.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…28e4backed Yes | 42c | 36.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…b7a3backed Yes | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…9d9bbacked Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 56c | 31.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Yes | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 41c | 27.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 58c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…306ebacked Yes | 44c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 23.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 58c | 22.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?this page
- Liverpool FC leading at halftime?No won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.