Champions League · resolved market
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf773d55d69fdec3a4a9a128c4c6f2ba12985beaaa0803f20df3c62240ed65be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,297$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 76c | 1,175$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,016$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 993.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 241.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Yes | 19c | 211.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 23c | 211.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Yes | 23c | 208.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 20c | 170.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…256dbacked Yes | 24c | 106.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 77c | 84.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…d776backed Yes | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked No | 79c | 56.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 77c | 49.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 43.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed No | 79c | 32.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 79c | 30.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 78c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…b81dbacked No | 78c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 78c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 78c | 13.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 13.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 79c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC leading at halftime?this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.