Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85d552b85b56d670c13ca9d16f0c36293ed17737f0c2f3ba6b179ce7f42f7b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 896.16$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 2c | 650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 57c | 195.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 54c | 110.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 55c | 83.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 71.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 70.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 55c | 66.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 45.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 45c | 38.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 32.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 55c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 46c | 27.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…27efbacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…a443backed No | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a4…1e56backed Yes | 55c | 23.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…dfecbacked Yes | 54c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…23b8backed Yes | 55c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc008…6041backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…107abacked Yes | 55c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…3e31backed Yes | 54c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…6ec1backed Yes | 55c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…3be6backed Yes | 54c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…c50ebacked Yes | 54c | 18.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.