Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47707abbb75a06d8e42f562867832f0b418d83eae7911d3c3abd13a99db82bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 1c | 2,834$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 1,329$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.23 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 827.82$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.66 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 805.42$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 48c | 524.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 491.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 488.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.66 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 49c | 222$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 54c | 185.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 158.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 147.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked Over | 50c | 134.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 69.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 54.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 56c | 40.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…5320backed Under | 47c | 37.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 52c | 35.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under | 45c | 32.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 51c | 30.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…2fccbacked Over | 54c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 221 | 56.1%124 W · 97 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 27.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 52c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 52c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 50c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 53c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 53c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Over | 53c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…8672backed Over | 55c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.