Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda241a384f901f72701acd44271717a28177457b1ac2c539abd25e0a0236fd46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kolkata Knight Ridersof Kolkata Knight Riders, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe6…7ed5backed Mumbai Indians | 1c | 1,764$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 45c | 780.42$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.23 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Mumbai Indians | 55c | 775.27$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 409.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Mumbai Indians | 49c | 409.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 287.72$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 219.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…01a8backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Mumbai Indians | 49c | 106.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc64…96febacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…0c4bbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 92.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 53.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8756backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mumbai Indians | 48c | 49.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…8f5bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 45.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 38.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…8a36backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…1b5dbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 31.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…4788backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…87aebacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…a26fbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…7ddebacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…526dbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…5968backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 23.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…d024backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…96e8backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai IndiansKolkata Knight Riders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.