Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fac884ebc1f8af8b03f33bec30571fcfd7ac8fd9bbece46a29a6e37a09b7b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 58c | 4,422$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.07 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 2,433$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,118$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.28 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 586.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.46 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 45c | 425.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 302.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 256.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 77c | 250.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 60c | 180.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 169.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 168.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 163.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 42c | 137.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 127.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Over | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 99.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 40c | 64.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 42c | 59.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 42c | 59.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 66c | 57.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 42c | 54.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 42c | 52.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 56c | 52.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 42c | 46.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 42c | 46.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 42c | 42.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 41.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 42c | 35.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 34.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 71c | 34.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 56c | 29.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 44c | 26.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 44c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)VfL Bochum won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.