Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce1cd7d16e7a2a2b30bc27fb35d98abc654ce89156fc62d5bd526c3c3d12b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 46c | 2,802$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 2,435$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 594.37$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 363.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.12 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 326.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 298.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 39c | 268.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 37c | 234.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 207.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 130.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 111.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked Over | 38c | 75.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…521fbacked Over | 36c | 72.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 60c | 68.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 57c | 66.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…5d25backed Over | 37c | 49.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 48.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 35c | 39.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 35.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 56c | 34.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…f247backed Over | 36c | 32.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 53c | 31.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 23.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 23.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 23.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 52c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 56c | 23.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)VfL Bochum won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.