Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Max Basing vs Christian Langmo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed64284bfaedb06efbd038e92d2c58f79df24596d6874c451d4cbbba080e9613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Basingof Max Basing, Christian Langmo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Christian Langmo | 4c | 21,263$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.72 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…385cbacked Christian Langmo | 1c | 11,851$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…c3e0backed Christian Langmo | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Max Basing | 71c | 6,432$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.83 | 186 | 55.9%104 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Max Basing | 71c | 6,351$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.39 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Christian Langmo | 14c | 4,015$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Christian Langmo | 29c | 3,257$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.11 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Christian Langmo | 8c | 2,385$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christian Langmo | 12c | 2,307$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.18 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Christian Langmo | 28c | 1,087$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Christian Langmo | 2c | 999.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Christian Langmo | 2c | 996.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Christian Langmo | 10c | 774.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Christian Langmo | 29c | 660.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Christian Langmo | 16c | 494.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Christian Langmo | 29c | 431$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Christian Langmo | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Christian Langmo | 15c | 210.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Christian Langmo | 29c | 206.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Christian Langmo | 29c | 172.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Christian Langmo | 14c | 169.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 94 | 21.3%20 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Christian Langmo | 12c | 145$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Christian Langmo | 30c | 113.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Christian Langmo | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Christian Langmo | 24c | 104.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Christian Langmo | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Christian Langmo | 28c | 86.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Christian Langmo | 21c | 81.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Max Basing | 76c | 81.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked Max Basing | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Max Basing | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Max Basing | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.