MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x097755c40b2b337879551b0ef9e64dc2f1fd040025a0d79249632369f0889595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Marlins, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Marlins | 38c | 324,236$122,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,414.37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 63c | 151,694$95,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,279.05 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 75,748$47,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,480.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 63c | 41,047$25,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,341.74 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 62c | 27,000$16,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 38c | 25,222$9,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,584.36 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 17,174$10,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.97 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 37c | 9,112$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.37 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Red Sox | 64c | 8,593$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.48 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 8,138$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 19c | 7,929$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 62c | 7,772$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.61 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 6,284$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Marlins | 38c | 5,050$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Marlins | 34c | 3,967$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.39 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Red Sox | 62c | 3,414$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 79c | 3,336$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.16 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Marlins | 39c | 3,118$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.02 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 6c | 3,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 34c | 3,100$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 3,030$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.22 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox | 63c | 2,481$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.95 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 63c | 2,142$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.41 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 80c | 2,131$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.42 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 1c | 1,831$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,694$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 68c | 1,504$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.58 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,314$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 1c | 1,199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 63c | 1,113$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.84 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 63c | 1,092$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,033$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Marlins | 37c | 971.76$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 37c | 901$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Red Sox | 63c | 819.97$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 38c | 789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 37c | 605$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 4c | 505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Red Sox | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Marlins | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 408.27$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 37c | 351.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 38c | 349.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 65c | 279.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Marlins | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 22c | 270.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 62c | 254.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…278cbacked Red Sox | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…09cabacked Marlins | 38c | 210.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Marlins | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Marlins | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 62c | 170.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 62c | 159.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Marlins | 38c | 159.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Red Sox | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 63c | 157.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 74c | 154.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox | 62c | 148$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Marlins | 35c | 142.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Marlins | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Red Sox | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 22c | 116.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 60c | 101.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 21c | 100.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Red Sox | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Marlins | 37c | 87.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Marlins | 22c | 71.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Marlins | 37c | 67.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Marlins | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Marlins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 63c | 50.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Red Sox | 64c | 45.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Red Sox | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Red Sox | 61c | 35.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…0aa8backed Marlins | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…efc0backed Marlins | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Red Sox | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Red Sox | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.