South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc0644b2de309b4ec8d1c7241c4dd8ae34b150a527c1d40e315257b650c3315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,043$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 65c | 548.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 360.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 35c | 224.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 40c | 157.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 152.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Over | 47c | 134.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 124.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 124.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 90.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 55.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 49.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 43.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 74c | 40.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 67c | 30.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 64c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 61c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)CD Coquimbo Unido won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.