South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14ced20a4c9edd46145357b0231073c5cde953e2b62becb121c83dd1fa7584d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Coquimbo Unidoof Club Nacional de Football, CD Coquimbo Unido
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0441…d03dbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 984$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…1406backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 821$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…99ffbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 807$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…ac6abacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 633.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…fc0cbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 627$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…224cbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 620$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…b4e8backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 617$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…e71bbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 608$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…9bb2backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 584$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…42f1backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 578$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…9a54backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 578$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…14cfbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 556$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…5a13backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 556$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…ef0fbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 544$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a7…9857backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 534$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efa…9027backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 530$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…f8fcbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 526$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…4741backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 524$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…fdacbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 516$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…11b0backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 508$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…0202backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 503$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…aeddbacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 501$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…58f6backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 497$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…754ebacked Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 488$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…94c4backed Club Nacional de Football | 4c | 472$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)this page
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.