South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6647e9f008e075ed6cb95dc6346dd1dae44e0ea1fb823ca9ff79551214b9014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 53c | 1,782$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.49 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 49c | 1,681$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.75 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,577$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 1,209$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.56 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 1,058$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8f68backed Yes | 56c | 975.65$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 26c | 960.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 48c | 887.46$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.15 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 46c | 736.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 28c | 710$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…4164backed No | 22c | 611.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 535.53$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 488.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 57c | 363.21$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…44dcbacked Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 74c | 318.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 68c | 315.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 300.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 72c | 281.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 252.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 59c | 228.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 54c | 217.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 55c | 180.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 179.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 72c | 159.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 45c | 157.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 73c | 154.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 25c | 137.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 134.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…fa51backed Yes | 74c | 134.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 49c | 128.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 47c | 128.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 57c | 105.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…ec4cbacked Yes | 53c | 102.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked No | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…99a0backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 72.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 55c | 72.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 71.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 54c | 67.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 72c | 65.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 56c | 59.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 52c | 53.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 45.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 43.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Yes | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 50c | 38.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 70c | 36.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 52c | 28.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed No | 53c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.8wins | +0.39per pick | 56cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 54c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 50c | 27.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…1a75backed Yes | 75c | 27.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 65c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 53c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 53c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 54c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked No | 54c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 54c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…ac20backed Yes | 59c | 19.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 60c | 19.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…e0a5backed No | 77c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed No | 61c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 79c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.