TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes33c2,059$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.2351749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No67c1,993$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.135660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No8c1,684$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.35,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes31c593.43$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c342.51$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.338,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccb…6e97backed No67c145.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.041258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c99.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7383642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No70c84.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c84.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c84.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.563,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes34c72.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.822944.8%13 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked No70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes28c68.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2130231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes34c57.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed No68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No68c36.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.528647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c34.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.822,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed No70c26.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.564957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No68c21.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.718451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed No68c21.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x615c…c1a8backed No68c20.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3a…bb94backed No69c17.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.