TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bba…cf14backed No66c3,457$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.145560%33 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c3,171$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c2,254$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.632,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…b708backed Yes72c1,045$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.57366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes48c1,002$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.166944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes34c1,001$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.662941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes73c895.86$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No51c889.19$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.923333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes34c615.71$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.21,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c602.71$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.372,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c462.45$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes36c301.84$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.174643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Yes80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No62c220.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.98964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No20c216.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No64c193.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.596350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes34c157.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.232751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes35c132.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.282944.8%13 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes51c124.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.034654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes39c124.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes39c124.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8728158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes39c124.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes39c124.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8719056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3444959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c120.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.451,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c96.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c96.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3983642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes38c89.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3816534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes36c80.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.299340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9417…200cbacked No63c77.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes33c76.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.569458.5%55 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c76.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.691,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Yes63c66.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.883557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Yes39c61.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.675362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62b6…e6d9backed No35c60.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No64c52.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.423844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No37c51.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No32c50.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.933638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No48c49.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.397722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed No45c46.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.942646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf874…db07backed No40c46.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No67c43.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3418743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes28c42.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.213,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9986…6d93backed No63c38.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc779…a904backed No66c37.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a5e…f08abacked Yes56c35.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b8b…2c87backed No35c32.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.617950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes36c28.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Yes36c28.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.171154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c3…78ffbacked No48c27.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No74c26.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.698647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…92f2backed No66c22.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No64c19.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.795560%33 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed No64c17.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464045%18 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.