South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91cefd55c0b90576eb243356cfe2c526d4fa7a6a24a32e6a88cf39d1fb52433e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,596$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,079$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 488.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 29c | 415.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Yes | 24c | 317.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 13c | 309.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 74c | 305.82$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed No | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 14c | 234.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 14c | 229.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 14c | 226.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…6b32backed Yes | 31c | 223.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 14c | 221.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 212.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 162.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 76c | 144.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…db07backed Yes | 16c | 124.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 120.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 16c | 115.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 16c | 115.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 16c | 111.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 16c | 108.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 98.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 74c | 90.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 88.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 12c | 88.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 16c | 80.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 16c | 72.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…78ffbacked Yes | 24c | 62.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed No | 75c | 39.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 54c | 33.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 75c | 27.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 27.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 76c | 18.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.