Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Quentin Halys vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca523af5482b756ef975c954fc50bb9fc9bda478a8c95183385fb45b9aff57c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goffinof Halys, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Halys | 43c | 5,546$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.7 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Goffin | 38c | 2,334$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.32 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Halys | 61c | 1,552$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.96 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Goffin | 66c | 1,500$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.09 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Goffin | 62c | 1,035$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Goffin | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Halys | 62c | 812.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.71 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Goffin | 41c | 352.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Halys | 6c | 323.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Goffin | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Goffin | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Goffin | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Halys | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Goffin | 40c | 220$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Goffin | 63c | 158.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Goffin | 38c | 145.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Goffin | 39c | 133.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Halys | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Goffin | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Halys | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Halys | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Halys | 23c | 87.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Halys | 30c | 83.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Goffin | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Goffin | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Halys | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Goffin | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Goffin | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Halys | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Halys | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.