MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd9e1950d4c50f7b669a26cd2504e0856cdcd4cbf159544642b8d87ef79c622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cubs | 52c | 4,287$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.66 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 49c | 4,212$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 40c | 3,792$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Cubs | 22c | 3,333$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.74 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Cubs | 52c | 2,937$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.64 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…2c27backed Reds | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 80c | 2,258$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.85 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 46c | 1,702$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.91 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…3969backed Reds | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 37c | 1,577$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Cubs | 25c | 1,422$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 46c | 1,422$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.82 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…b36ebacked Reds | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…e00dbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 13c | 1,194$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.59 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…a06fbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,157$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a83fbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 15c | 1,140$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.2 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Reds | 11c | 1,108$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…222fbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Reds | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…f05fbacked Reds | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 59c | 805.63$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…dad7backed Cubs | 51c | 805$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…3ad4backed Cubs | 51c | 787$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cubs | 51c | 726.05$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cubs | 10c | 688.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.19 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 50c | 620.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.07 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Reds | 10c | 620$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cubs | 11c | 540.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 51c | 497.21$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cubs | 51c | 466.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 48c | 444.76$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Cubs | 27c | 423.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.78 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Reds | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Cubs | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Cubs | 20c | 392.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.22 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Cubs | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Cubs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Cubs | 51c | 332.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 13c | 321.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Reds | 65c | 303.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Cubs | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 14c | 218.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…ccb1backed Cubs | 21c | 212.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Cubs | 30c | 210$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Reds | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Cubs | 51c | 194$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cubs | 38c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 29c | 148.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 32c | 145$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Cubs | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Cubs | 14c | 139.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cubs | 51c | 135.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…137bbacked Reds | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…f296backed Cubs | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cubs | 16c | 126.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 64c | 124.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Cubs | 50c | 118.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 66c | 110.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 50c | 109.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…0b2dbacked Reds | 50c | 107.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…67fabacked Cubs | 51c | 107.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…5436backed Cubs | 52c | 104.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…7473backed Cubs | 36c | 103.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…5615backed Cubs | 52c | 101.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Cubs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cubs | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cubs | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e75…a01cbacked Reds | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…f409backed Reds | 50c | 97.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…1ce4backed Reds | 50c | 96.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 48c | 94.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 51c | 94.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…9f44backed Cubs | 51c | 94.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…2d6ebacked Reds | 49c | 93.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…9c73backed Reds | 50c | 91.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Cubs | 51c | 91.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…1f2cbacked Cubs | 52c | 89.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…9a59backed Cubs | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…97ccbacked Reds | 50c | 86.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb72…fa52backed Cubs | 51c | 85.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…3f78backed Cubs | 51c | 83.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Reds | 48c | 74.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Cubs | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed Cubs | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.