MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee007399e0ecb120486427e15f38063a4d986a620071eee19b5d9efad41f33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Twins, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Twins | 13c | 126,557$16,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,779.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 40c | 37,397$14,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,438.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 78c | 30,938$24,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.43 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 38c | 24,948$9,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,417.01 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Twins | 62c | 24,101$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Twins | 60c | 22,160$13,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,296.21 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 78c | 19,129$14,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 21c | 14,612$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.04 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 60c | 11,090$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.48 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Twins | 16c | 10,118$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Twins | 61c | 7,410$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.95 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 57c | 5,387$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 42c | 2,754$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockies | 40c | 2,001$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 60c | 1,917$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,532$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 39c | 1,500$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.97 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Twins | 56c | 1,266$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.7 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies | 39c | 1,245$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.93 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Twins | 61c | 1,067$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.46 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rockies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Twins | 62c | 497.23$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Twins | 14c | 491.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 16c | 481.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 37c | 450$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 51c | 432.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Twins | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 4c | 399.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Twins | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 61c | 345$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Twins | 62c | 324.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Twins | 63c | 318.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Twins | 61c | 295$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rockies | 40c | 293.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twins | 9c | 242.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Twins | 13c | 241.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rockies | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Twins | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 58c | 198.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc8…bf2bbacked Twins | 62c | 185.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…04b1backed Twins | 61c | 170.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Twins | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Twins | 63c | 158.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies | 39c | 143$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Twins | 18c | 140.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Twins | 61c | 138.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Twins | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rockies | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…a22abacked Twins | 33c | 129.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 22c | 111.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Twins | 59c | 110.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Rockies | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 39c | 97.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 38c | 93.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Twins | 30c | 91.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Twins | 12c | 90.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Twins | 38c | 88.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins | 61c | 81.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Twins | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 58c | 80.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Rockies | 39c | 76.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Rockies | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Twins | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Rockies | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Twins | 61c | 56.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed Twins | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rockies | 48c | 53.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockies | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Rockies | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Twins | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Twins | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rockies | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Rockies | 41c | 47.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Rockies | 77c | 36.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rockies | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…a45ebacked Rockies | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 51c | 28.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 61c | 24.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Twins | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.