TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Tigers, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals61c12,070$7,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.241,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers41c9,283$3,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,795.1515745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers40c4,490$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.912650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers3c4,140$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9225416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Tigers35c2,694$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.9930928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals60c2,372$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.432,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals60c2,200$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals64c2,167$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.049,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e7…0ebcbacked Tigers40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed Tigers41c1,951$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.911952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked Cardinals59c1,951$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a6…6db5backed Tigers42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e4…2b48backed Cardinals60c1,083$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers41c1,049$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6320450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers4c1,003$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers41c990.65$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Cardinals57c932.09$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.717450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8092…da08backed Cardinals58c920$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d30…cde3backed Cardinals60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21a9…356abacked Tigers34c898.77$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.332015%3 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ad…e00dbacked Cardinals58c880$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals72c810.02$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.12,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…6786backed Cardinals59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Tigers17c702.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Tigers4c596.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.472626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c49…0144backed Tigers41c560$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals79c539.07$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.494,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers2c538.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.418762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1d…13e3backed Cardinals61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Cardinals59c489.65$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers43c464.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Tigers6c456.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0925835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Tigers40c437.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Tigers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.522,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11713555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…5d9abacked Tigers29c270$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.32458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals58c256.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6533349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Tigers40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db4…4e27backed Tigers41c240$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Tigers42c237.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers43c235.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers43c233.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.912549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals56c227.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.291,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Tigers28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Tigers24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Tigers7c181.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals58c173.26$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18dc…dc5bbacked Tigers42c130.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals58c119.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd62…87abbacked Tigers42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505440.7%22 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Tigers42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Tigers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44c7…04f6backed Tigers45c113.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Cardinals58c111$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.623342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2826…e2d7backed Tigers43c110.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…36a2backed Cardinals57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b6…abe2backed Cardinals57c94.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x154f…ad90backed Cardinals57c93.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.19450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ca…50d6backed Cardinals57c89.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers39c89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7151955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e37…5e19backed Cardinals60c86.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x474a…2071backed Cardinals57c86.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.345100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3168…98c1backed Tigers46c85.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…a3ecbacked Cardinals58c84.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x120c…89d4backed Cardinals71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals57c83.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.12,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Tigers25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92e3…78febacked Cardinals60c78.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1f…11c3backed Tigers30c77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e29…2106backed Tigers45c72.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a93…adb8backed Tigers42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5503…4f5fbacked Tigers43c63.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Cardinals80c61.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.255839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Tigers42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals57c57.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8925954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Tigers39c51.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1120448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Cardinals58c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Tigers43c50.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2274356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Tigers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee57…33a7backed Tigers25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea7a…eab1backed Cardinals61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182075%15 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe79b…0fe0backed Tigers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2475…a2b2backed Tigers44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Tigers29c44.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0512025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals57c39.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1841649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tigers42c39.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b5…6c84backed Tigers42c33.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cardinals74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.626,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Cardinals61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Cardinals61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.796869.1%47 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals64c31.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4269547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.