College Football · resolved market
Will Texas A&M beat Arkansas?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x866397d7ee17ee170af26a45293139d82a37abd1335a75729b44aab8a4edb7ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Arkansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Texas A&M | 62c | 9,921$6,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Arkansas | 36c | 8,798$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.82 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texas A&M | 68c | 3,141$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.96 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Arkansas | 34c | 1,700$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe322…99ffbacked Arkansas | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Texas A&M | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Arkansas | 42c | 1,429$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…7821backed Arkansas | 33c | 1,060$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas A&M | 63c | 505.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.69 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…ae60backed Arkansas | 34c | 497.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Arkansas | 32c | 340.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Texas A&M | 65c | 333$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Arkansas | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…c738backed Arkansas | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Arkansas | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Arkansas | 32c | 156.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b1…d75dbacked Texas A&M | 69c | 125.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Arkansas | 42c | 115.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Arkansas | 47c | 100.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…ef85backed Arkansas | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Texas A&M | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Arkansas | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Texas A&M | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Arkansas | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Texas A&M | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…a401backed Texas A&M | 51c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arkansas | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Arkansas | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…19fcbacked Texas A&M | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Texas A&M | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas A&M beat Arkansas?this page
- Will Texas A&M and Arkansas combine for 53 or more points?Under won
- Will Texas A&M beat Arkansas by 5 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.