College Football · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5c607cf2c45889c8f1161209ff6d8fb71b01570ad8997630958cd24154eddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Tennessee, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Vanderbilt | 43c | 4,935$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.5 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…c545backed Vanderbilt | 24c | 3,829$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Vanderbilt | 0c | 3,617$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Tennessee | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Tennessee | 76c | 1,974$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.83 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Tennessee | 78c | 1,672$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Tennessee | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Vanderbilt | 2c | 1,446$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Vanderbilt | 55c | 1,083$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.23 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Tennessee | 76c | 1,000$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Vanderbilt | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Tennessee | 58c | 1,000$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Vanderbilt | 38c | 610.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Tennessee | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Tennessee | 78c | 555.13$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…978abacked Vanderbilt | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Vanderbilt | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Tennessee | 59c | 410$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Tennessee | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Vanderbilt | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tennessee | 59c | 264.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…25acbacked Tennessee | 80c | 258.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Vanderbilt | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Vanderbilt | 20c | 216.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Vanderbilt | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…2ac8backed Vanderbilt | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Tennessee | 78c | 199$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Tennessee | 46c | 161.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Vanderbilt | 54c | 157.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Vanderbilt | 21c | 155$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Tennessee | 40c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tennessee | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Tennessee | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Tennessee | 55c | 79.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…e878backed Vanderbilt | 29c | 72.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Vanderbilt | 21c | 70.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Tennessee | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba4…1f1dbacked Tennessee | 47c | 49.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Tennessee | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Tennessee | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Vanderbilt | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…aaffbacked Tennessee | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Tennessee | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Vanderbilt | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…cbe3backed Tennessee | 55c | 27.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…ab5bbacked Tennessee | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…e89ebacked Vanderbilt | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…14acbacked Tennessee | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.