Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs McNally (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9637e323c21a796b5a15fb9cbcacfccc99d3a6af0d018d18195f7d9abf3c8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNallyof Eala, McNally
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Eala | 49c | 4,559$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed McNally | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed McNally | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed McNally | 48c | 598.13$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.03 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked McNally | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Eala | 50c | 499.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked McNally | 50c | 312.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked McNally | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed McNally | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed McNally | 52c | 225.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Eala | 47c | 208.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked McNally | 53c | 208.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed McNally | 55c | 183.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Eala | 45c | 103.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed McNally | 50c | 97.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed McNally | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Eala | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed McNally | 53c | 47.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Eala | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs McNally (+1.5)this page
- Caty McNally vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- McNally vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra EalaAlexandra Eala won
- National Bank Open: Completed Match: Caty McNally vs Alexandra EalaYes won
- Set 1 Winner: McNally vs EalaEala won
- Set 2 Winner: McNally vs EalaMcNally won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.