Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd690b24625f8c944b968b1691d6c84e02b4d4078efecc83740455d83bce6345d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 17c | 25,000$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,749.95 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 35c | 5,192$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 13c | 4,397$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.77 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…4facbacked Yes | 72c | 2,803$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 2,230$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 29c | 1,601$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.96 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,185$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Yes | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 14c | 553.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.13 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 56c | 367.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 57c | 348.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 290$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 56c | 250.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 234.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 18c | 222$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…3e72backed No | 16c | 211.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 50c | 200.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 30c | 195.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 57c | 173.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +310.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…307fbacked Yes | 73c | 136.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 76c | 131.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 18c | 89.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 65c | 66.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 36c | 61.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 78c | 44.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 61c | 41.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…fb30backed Yes | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 52c | 30.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7638…9e82backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe495…5be9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…512abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.